Boise State
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
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RankNameGradeRating
47  Miler Haller SO 31:29
106  Yusuke Uchikoshi SR 31:47
225  Ahmed Muhumed FR 32:14
227  Michael Vennard SR 32:14
232  Addison DeHaven JR 32:15
352  Riley Campbell JR 32:33
440  Andrew Rafla JR 32:43
462  Chandler Austin JR 32:44
610  Matlazomatli Rojas JR 33:03
National Rank #23 of 315
West Region Rank #7 of 33
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 56.1%
Most Likely Finish 22nd at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.3%
Top 10 at Nationals 3.4%
Top 20 at Nationals 32.9%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 21.7%
Top 10 in Regional 99.7%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Miler Haller Yusuke Uchikoshi Ahmed Muhumed Michael Vennard Addison DeHaven Riley Campbell Andrew Rafla Chandler Austin Matlazomatli Rojas
Charles Blowles Willamette Invitational 09/30 1242
Louisville Classic (Gold) 09/30 516 31:19 31:10 32:34 31:51 32:58 32:27 32:52 32:53
Nuttycombe Invitational 10/13 718 31:48 34:00 32:01 32:33 32:20 32:42 32:55
Mountain West Championship 10/27 496 31:21 32:14 32:34 32:00 31:43 32:02 32:37 33:13 33:39
West Region Championships 11/10 503 31:21 31:33 31:55 33:17 32:07 32:46 32:29





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 56.1% 19.0 493 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.9 2.1 2.2 2.6 2.5 3.0 3.4 3.7 4.4 4.0 4.3 4.5 3.0 2.7 2.4 2.3 1.0 1.0 1.1 0.9 0.2
Region Championship 100% 6.6 178 0.3 2.8 5.7 13.1 22.9 25.6 20.2 7.5 1.8 0.4



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Miler Haller 85.7% 49.5 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.7 1.0 0.9 0.9 1.1 1.5 1.5 0.9 1.2 1.4
Yusuke Uchikoshi 66.2% 88.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2
Ahmed Muhumed 56.2% 153.6
Michael Vennard 56.2% 152.3
Addison DeHaven 56.1% 155.8
Riley Campbell 56.1% 196.9
Andrew Rafla 56.1% 213.3


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Miler Haller 12.1 0.4 1.4 3.7 4.7 5.5 6.7 4.6 5.3 4.7 4.5 4.5 4.0 4.0 3.7 3.1 3.0 2.5 2.6 2.2 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.7
Yusuke Uchikoshi 23.2 0.1 0.5 0.5 1.3 1.0 2.0 1.7 2.3 3.0 3.4 3.0 3.4 3.4 2.7 3.3 3.0 3.7 3.5 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.9 2.6
Ahmed Muhumed 44.5 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.1
Michael Vennard 45.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.3 0.5 1.0
Addison DeHaven 45.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.9 0.7
Riley Campbell 61.6 0.1 0.1
Andrew Rafla 69.4




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 0.3% 100.0% 0.3 0.3 2
3 2.8% 100.0% 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.8 3
4 5.7% 99.1% 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.2 1.1 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.1 5.6 4
5 13.1% 94.6% 0.7 1.5 1.5 2.4 2.7 2.3 1.4 0.7 12.4 5
6 22.9% 81.0% 0.9 1.4 2.2 4.7 5.7 3.8 4.4 18.6 6
7 25.6% 47.9% 0.1 1.2 2.0 3.6 5.5 13.3 12.3 7
8 20.2% 20.3% 1.0 3.1 16.1 4.1 8
9 7.5% 2.7% 0.2 7.3 0.2 9
10 1.8% 1.8 10
11 0.4% 0.4 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
Total 100% 56.1% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.6 1.8 3.4 4.3 7.4 10.9 13.3 14.1 44.0 0.3 55.8




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Princeton 69.0% 1.0 0.7
Illinois 56.1% 2.0 1.1
Mid. Tenn. State 48.7% 1.0 0.5
Utah State 39.2% 1.0 0.4
Penn 37.5% 1.0 0.4
Wisconsin 26.1% 2.0 0.5
Florida State 23.7% 1.0 0.2
Purdue 22.8% 1.0 0.2
Tulsa 7.9% 1.0 0.1
Eastern Michigan 4.6% 1.0 0.0
Columbia 4.0% 1.0 0.0
Virginia 3.8% 1.0 0.0
Indiana 1.0% 1.0 0.0
California 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Kentucky 0.3% 2.0 0.0
Belmont 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Auburn 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Lipscomb 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 4.3
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 9.0